Mexico vs Uruguay – betting tips, match prediction and preview

World Cup BettingMexico will play Uruguay today in their final match at the group stage at 15:00 BST in Rustenburg to decide the winner of group A at the World Cup. A draw would guarantee both sides a spot between the last 16 and leave France and South Africa with an early World Cup exit.

Match Preview

The match between Mexico and Uruguay brings back memories of one of the most controversial World Cup matches in history. In 1982 West Germany and Austria played 1-0 in their final group match, which guaranteed both sides advancement to the knockout stage. The Germans secured an early lead and afterward the match was played out in walking pace to eliminate Algeria. The scenario could play out again today, as Mexico and Uruguay would both advance to the knockout stage, if they draw at Royal Bafokeng Stadium in South Africa. The big question is whether the two South American teams will try to contrive the necessary draw and guarantee their place between the last 16 countries.

One can find at least one compelling reason for Mexico not to draw, as they would be paired with likely group B winner Argentina in the 1/8-finals. At the same time both sides could easily progress with a small defeat, depending on the outcome in the match between France and South Africa. France would need to turn around a four goal deficit to progress, while the South African would need a total of 5 goals reversed.

Team Updates

The Mexicans are without Carlos Vela after his hamstring injury against France, which mean Mexico will likely start Javier Hernandez or Pablo Barrera. They have one suspension in Efrain Juarez, who is expected to be replaced with Paul Aguilar.

Uruguay will most likely be starting the same eleven that played South Africa and won 3-0. At the same time they have Nicolas Lodeiro back from his suspension in their last match.

Mexico vs Uruguay betting tip

Our betting pick will be to back Mexico for the outright win at odds 3.60 at 888 sports.

Most people expect a draw in the match today, which admittedly is a very possible outcome considering the group standing. With the current standing only Mexico could have an interest in winning to avoid Argentina. If Mexico should win they will likely be getting either South Korea, Greece or Nigeria, which would be a tremendous difference compared to the favorites from Argentina. We find the reason compelling enough to back Mexico in the match today, especially considering the high odds on Mexican victory. However, they are not likely to gamble a lot and will likely be cautious in the beginning. This said we do expect them to put pressure on Uruguay in the end, if the match between France and South Africa is level in the middle of the second half. Our match prediction will be 1-0 victory for Mexico today.

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