Barcelona vs Inter Milan Champions League – betting tips and match preview

champions-league-BettingThe current Champions League titleholders Barcelona will play Inter Milan tonight at 20:45 CET at Camp Nou in Barcelona. Inter Milan won the first leg semi-final 3-1 at San Siro after an exciting game, where the Italians was well prepared and stopped Barcelona from supplying their world class offense. Tonight Barcelona will have to get around the well organized Italian defense as they need at least two goals to reach the final in Madrid.

5 matches so far

Barcelona and Inter Milan have played each other 5 times now, including last week, where Inter Milan won for the first time. Last time Inter Milan visited Camp Nou was at the group stage in this years Champions League which ended in a 2-0 defeat, while their only other visit ended with a 3-0 defeat. Tonight the Italians have to improve their stats against Barcelona to go through, but have a 3-1 win to help them on their way.

Many of the Barcelona players was very upset after the first match at San Siro, where they felt cheated by the referee in some controversial situations and there can not be much doubt that they were cheated in some cases. Especially Inter Milan’s goal to 3-1 was clearly offside and a mistake by the referees, while they were probably cheated for a penalty in the last minutes of the game, when Sneijder committed a free kick inside the box. This said, Inter Milan played a good tactical game and these situations are really no excuse for Barcelona.

In last weeks match Jose Mourinho made genius tactical move by letting Sneijder mark Xavi during the entire game. This effectively stopped the supply of balls to Messi, as the central defenders for Barcelona had to carry the ball forward. At the same time goals from Sneijder, Maicon, and Milito secured a perfect result, which might make Inter Milan the first club to beat Barcelona after Pep Guardiolas arrival.

Puvol will be missing

In tonight’s match Barcelona will be without their captain Puyol, who is suspended and will be replaced by Milito in defense. They are also missing Iniesta and Abidal, who are still out with injuries.

The Inter Milan team will have Sneijder back after his minor injury against Atlanta, while Pandev is doubtful for tonight’s match. Both Santon and Toldo have been deemed out definitively, while Stankovic is out due to suspension.

Looking at tonight’s match we will likely see the some picture as in the first semi-final. Barcelona will have a lot of ball possession, while Inter Milan will try to close down the supply of balls to the Barcelona attack. Considering the fact that Inter Milan is coming with a 3-1 win from the first match, their tactic will likely be somewhat defensive and based on the counterattacks with Eto’o in front. Many would likely consider it suicide to play defensively at Camp Nou, but Inter Milan have only conceded 2 goals in the last five matches in Champions League, which shows the great tactical organization by Mourinho. At the same time a big part of their tactic will be to ruin Barcelona’s play and try to make sure that neither Messi and Xavi gets the ball.

Barcelona on the other hand has to find a way through the Inter Milan defense tonight. In the first match they seemed very frustrated by Inter Milan and especially the many free kicks that prevented them from playing their game. Their attack never reached its normal level, which can be contributed to Inter Milan stopping their key players in midfield. It is going to be very interesting whether they can overtake the midfield again tonight or whether they have alternatives if necessary.

Milan looks like a favorite

Considering the first leg semi-final Inter Milan looks like a favourite to reach the final, which is also reflected in the bookmaker odds to qualify at 1.61 for Inter Milan and 2.25 for Barcelona. Although Inter Milan did manage to stop Barcelona in the first match, it will be much harder today, both because they are playing at Camp Nou and because the field will be watered before the match. This will create a much faster game, where Barcelona’s passing game will come to shine again. Our betting tips for the match will be to back Barcelona to qualify for the final and to pick them as the winners tonight, which can be played at odds 2.25 and 1.40 respectively at 888sport. Sport betters looking to back Inter Milan or the draw in tonight’s game can receive odds 7.00 and 5.00 for these results.

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